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The Federal Reserve (the Fed) meets this week, and expectations are high that they'll cut the Federal Funds Rate. But does that mean mortgage rates will drop? Let's clear up the confusion.
Right now, all eyes are on the Fed. Most economists expect they'll cut the Federal Funds Rate at their mid-September meeting to try to head off a potential recession.
According to the CME FedWatch Tool, markets are already betting on it. There's virtually a 100% chance of a September cut. And based on what we know now, there's about a 92% chance it'll be a small cut (25 basis points) and an 8% chance it will be a bigger cut (50 basis points):
Waiting for the perfect buyer to fall in love with your house? In today's market, that's usually not what's holding things up. And here's why.
Let's be real. Homes are taking a week longer to sell than they did a year ago. According to Realtor.com:
"Homes are also taking longer to sell. The typical home spent 60 days on the market in August, seven days longer than last year and now above pre-pandemic norms for the second consecutive month. This was the 17th straight month of year-over-year increases in time on market."
Part of that is because there are more homes on the market. So, with more options for buyers to choose from, they aren't getting snatched up quite as fast. But there's another big reason: price.
You've been waiting for what feels like forever for mortgage rates to finally budge. And last week, they did – in a big way.
On Friday, September 5th, the average 30-year fixed mortgage rate fell to the lowest level since October 2024. It was the biggest one-day decline in over a year.
According to Mortgage News Daily, this was a reaction to the August jobs report, which came out weaker-than-expected for a second month in a row. That sent signals across the financial markets, and then mortgage rates came down as a result.
Basically, we're seeing signs the economy may be slowing down, and as certainty grows in the direction the economy is going, the markets are reacting to what is likely ahead. That historically brings mortgage rates down.
But this isn't just about one...
August is usually a month where home buyers with young children close their purchases and get settled before school starts. It is also a month in which sellers who didn't sell their properties during the peak summer selling season consider their next options. Often, for those who really need to sell, lowering the asking price can be the answer. For others, taking their property off the market may make more sense. However, in 2025, the August Bend home sales reflected a mixed market with prices up, closings up, inventory up and days on market up.
When August 2025 is compared with August 2024, th...
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