Bend Real Estate Sales Lacking Listings

The October 2023 figures for Bend single family home sales have been produced and lack of inventory appears to be a consistent problem. Inventory levels have dropped year over year as have pending sales and sold homes. Despite a rise in new listings, the overall Bend real estate market reflects an anemic number of sales with prices remaining high and high interest rates greatly impacting the buying power of would-be purchasers. 

When October of 2023 is compared with October of 2022, Bend single family home sales show the following changes:

• Average sales price down 3% to $795,928*
• Median sales price up 7.6% to $731,500
• New listings up 6.9% to 140
• Homes for sale down 33.1% to 297
• Pending sales down 8.9% to 102
• Sold homes down 21% to 128
• Average days on market down 7.3% to 38
• Months of supply down 15.4% to 2.2
• Average price per square...

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There are More Bend Luxury Homes on the Market

The Bend real estate market has been in transition since Covid ended, with the demand for homes remaining strong, but rising mortgage interest rates greatly impacting the buying power of would-be homebuyers.  It has been three months since we last looked at the Bend luxury homes. During this time, there have been changes with fewer new listings, more homes on the market, and fewer sales. All four categories we look at with high end home sales are up significanty with available inventory.

We are pushing closer to a neutral market with the highest prices where there is 5 to 6 months of inventory. We are not there yet, but there has been significant change over the past twelve months where higher priced homes are slower to sell.

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Bend Home Sales Significantly Down the End of 2022 

When we study Bend real estate sales in 2022, we can state with confidence that the first six months were very different that the second half of the year. The first half of the year was a continuation of what was seen in 2021, with Bend single family home sales greatly impacted by lack of inventory and relatively low interest rates.  It was an extremely strong sellers' market with multiple offers and contingency waivers a normal occurrence. However, the second half of the year was highly influenced by rising mortgage interest rates with these more than doubling in just a few months - something that had never happened before in the country's history.  The high mortgage rates changed the buying power of potential Bend homebuyers, and the sales of

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High Interest Rates Impacting the Buying Power of Bend Homebuyers

Although the 30 year interest rate has moderated a bit from its high of 7.08% hit November 10, 2022, the rapid increase in mortgage interest rates we have seen since the beginning of 2022 has greatly impacted our buyer's purchasing power. Many buyers are regretting that they didn't buy several months ago before rates rose to the levels they are now. But is it really cheaper to buy a Bend home today than it was six months ago? Let's look at the true difference between these two markets and see what the numbers actually say.

 In April, we were still living under high demand for Bend homes and a $500,000 property hitting the market would often generate

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Bend Home Prices Up With Inventory Levels Down

Central Oregon is now in the fall season and typically during fall, Bend real estate sales drop. However, Bend single family home sales in October 2020 were anything but typical with sales breaking historic records. Speed forward to October 2021. While lack of inventory is still impacting prices, compared with the frantic fall sales of 2020, home sales in October 2021 seem more measured with offers often undergoing counter offers and negotiations on home repairs back with most transactions. This is a win for Bend homebuyers and for sellers, a strong sellers' market makes it a great time to list.

When October 2021 is compared with October 2020 for Bend single family homes on less than an acre, the following changes can be seen:

• Average sales price up 15.9% to $767,405*
• Median sales price up 15.8% to $645,000
• New listings down 30.6% to 159
• Homes for sale down 56.6% to 238
• Pending sales up 46.5% to 372
• Sold homes down 16.2% to 212
• Median days of market up 100% to 8
• Months of supply down 61.5% to 1
• Average price per square foot up 20.8% to $384
• Median price per square foot up 17.3% to $353
• Average percentage of list price received down .9% to 100.6%
• Dollar volume of closed sales down 2.9% to $162,689,776

As can be noted, home sales are down, new listings are down, inventory levels are down and prices are up. There is still a significant demand for Bend single family homes which continues to drive home prices. 

Predictions For Bend Real Estate Sales the Rest of 2021

Despite cooling temperatures as we move toward late fall, Bend home sales are still strong - and we anticipate they will remain this way through the remainder of 2021. Mortgage interest rates are predicted to rise in 2022, but as long as rates stay relatively low, homebuyers are purchasing. We predict more of the same through the rest of 2021.